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Prediction method of capacity data in telecom industry based on recurrent neural network
DING Yin, SANG Nan, LI Xiaoyu, WU Feizhou
Journal of Computer Applications    2021, 41 (8): 2373-2378.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2020101677
Abstract509)      PDF (1094KB)(379)       Save
In the capacity prediction process of telecom operation and maintenance, there are problems of too many capacity indicators and deployed business classes. Most of the existing researches do not consider the difference of indicator data types, and use the same prediction method for all types of data, which results in both good and bad prediction effects. In order to improve the efficiency of indicator prediction, a classification method of data type was proposed, and the data types were divided into trend type, periodic type and irregular type. Aiming at the prediction of periodical data, a periodic capacity indicator prediction model based on Bi-directional Recurrent Neural Network (BiRNN), called BiRNN-BiLSTM-BI, was proposed. Firstly, In order to analyze the periodic characteristics of capacity data, a busy and idle distribution analysis algorithm was proposed. Secondly, a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) model was built, which included a layer of BiRNN and a layer of Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory network (BiLSTM). Finally, the output of BiRNN was optimized by the system's busy and idle distribution information. Experimental results compared with the best one among Holt-Winters, AutoRregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model show that, the proposed BiRNN-BiLSTM-BI model has the Mean Square Error (MSE) reduced by 15.16% and 45.67% on the unified log dataset and the distributed cache service dataset respectively, showing that the prediction accuracy is greatly improved.
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